This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. O/U wins: 91.5. The Piratesremain fully in rebuild mode, but the young talent in the system is starting to reach the big leagues. I don't buy the Padres or Giants as 90-plus win teams, either. They battled through adversity and were able to outlast the Houston Astros en route to a world series trophy. It has been a discouraging offseason forAthletics'fans, who watched their two core Matts traded off to the Blue Jays (Chapman) and Braves (Olson), and standout arms Sean Manaea and Chris Bassitt traded to the Padres and Mets, respectively. That is, we'll list the win total for the 2022 season from Caesars Sportsbook and pick whether the team will win more (the "over") or fewer (the "under") games. The Blue Jays were widely considered to be one of the AL favorites to reach the World Series entering 2022, but they ended up finishing seven games behind the Yankees in the AL East and were swept by the Mariners in the AL Wild Card Series. Starting with the winners, there won't be many who will dispute that the White Sox should be the favorite to win the division. The team has pieces that will help it win games, with Frankie Montas at the front of that rotation and top prospect Cristian Pache immediately slotting into the outfield with Ramon Laureano. Clayton Kershaw has struggled to stay healthy, but has been dominant when on the mound. Theres no question the Padres have the talent to win the NL West, even a World Series title is possible. That's because Major League Baseball is on a run of 100-win teams. CHW Chicago White Sox. They still have Juan Soto, who continues to receive Ted Williams' comparisons, but the rest of the team is a bit unknown. There's certainly a void in the lineup without Tatis (and once his wrist is fully recovered, do we trust his shoulder to stay put the rest of the way?) MORE:Cody Bellinger is struggling again, but Dodgers are so good that it might not matter. The Sporting News is unveiling a model to project the 2022 MLB season and make predictions based on the results. The deepest lineup in baseball got deeper when it signed Freddie Freeman to help offset the loss of Seager. It isn't that simple, even if it sounds like it should be. (As a reminder, Emmanuel Clase did it in 2022 . There wasn't a better trio of starting pitchers in baseball last year than those onthe Brewers. The rotation might be even better in 2022 with the return of Mike Soroka to join Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Charlie Morton and Huascar Ynoa. Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season, including complete standings, playoff teams and the World Series winner. The bullpen and rotation are stronger than last season and the lineup will be productive. Whenthe Padresmade the playoffs in the abbreviated 2020 season, many expected they'd take that next step in 2021 and be a true World Series contender. Find the best projected stats of the 2023 MLB season and build the best Fantasy Baseball team. It will all come down to how many IL stints the Angels stars have in 2022. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: mlb | pageType: stories | Look, I know they do some sort of sorcery there, but the pitching depth is depleted and that's a rough division. Someone is going to have to take the crown away fromthe Astrosbefore anyone, even the model, would consider picking against them. Coming off an 81-81 campaign, San Francisco had an offseason that can best be described as OK. The Giants had grand designs to add a superstar, but they came up short in the Judge sweepstakes and walked away from a deal with Carlos Correa, reportedly due to concerns about his physical. After missing the playoffs by one game last season, 2022 could end up as the perfect year for the Jays to represent the AL in the World Series. At least they have one of the best MLB lineups. The East looks like a potential power in the National League, as well as the American League. Brendan Rodgers and Ryan McMahon showed they can make a promising tandem fans of the franchise can build around. This is tough. The model likes the Dodgers to win the pennant and finish with the best record in baseball, while the Giants are the second-most likely team to win the pennant, barely edging out the Braves, who are likely to earn the second bye by virtue of winning their division with the second-best record among division winners. Even worse, Lance Lynn is now sidelined until June. After winning 99 games in 2022, the Yankees were able to re-sign Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo in free agency, and they inked All-Star lefty Carlos Rodnto a six-year contract. The model indicates that in a World Series against the NL, which is loaded with teams that boast top-line pitching staffs, Tampa Bay's staff is more likely to hold up in a series. But there they are with an 88-74 projection from ZiPS, just three games behind the mighty Dodgers and Padres. MLB Playoff Predictor (MLB Season Picker) lets you pick every game of the MLB Season via a season Schedule . From back-to-back division champions to the cellar, the Twins'tumble in 2021 came as a shock after looking like a dominant team in each of the prior two years. 2023 Playoff Odds, . While the signing of Carlos Correa and the trade for Sonny Gray will help, the rest of the team has a lot of question marks, particularly after Berrios was traded midseason last year and Donaldson was traded in the offseason. I like mid-90s for Blue Jays wins in 2022, and that gets us home here. Signing Seiya Suzuki, one of Japan's biggest sluggers over the past six seasons, is a big addition as he'll likely slot right into the middle of the lineup. The model is also high on the pitching of the Giants, giving San Francisco a major edge going into the postseason even as a wild-card team. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. Disappointment in 2021 compelled the New York Mets to spend even more money this offseason. Ryan Fagan ( @RyanFagan ) [ MORE: How to watch Premier League in USA] After the break for the 2022 World Cup, the Premier League . The problem is so often health, and that is the concern the model has for the Angels. Pittsburgh is waiting for the Mitch Keller breakout to happen this spring, he's shown glimpses that it could be on the way as the rotation starts to weave in younger arms like Bryse Wilson and Roansy Contreras. Drew Rasmussen threw 76 innings last year. Team: Wins: Losses: Chicago White Sox: 85: 77: Vlad Guerrero Jr. ties Joe DiMaggio for the 2nd-most HR . By Dom Luszczyszyn. As for Colorado, signing Kris Bryant feels like a move for ticket sales as this is still one of the worst teams in MLB. The rotation looks well-rounded with three experienced starters at the top in Marcus Stroman, Kyle Hendricks and Wade Miley. If the snake-bitten franchise gets full seasons from Anthony Rendon, Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and Noah Syndergaard, its a no-doubt playoff team. These are the teams with the top odds: 1. Justin Verlander's return is hugefor the Astros, coming off their third World Series appearance in five years. Having also crammed these past few weeks, USA TODAY Sports presents its 2022 record predictions, an annual exercise in prognostication attempting to make sense of what went down this offseason and how it fits into team trajectory. Minnesota traded Josh Donaldson and others to free up room to sign prized free-agent shortstop Carlos Correa. It's a good, though not great, mix of position players. While Cleveland missed the playoffs last year, they also have finished no lower than third in the AL Central since 2012. We also like the depth pieces added to the staff (Carlos Martinez, Matt Boyd) and it will prove crucial this year. Do I sound hopeful? They'll hover around .500 without the season-altering winning streak this time around. Matt Chapman is one of the best defensive players in the game and his bat should look better with the talent around it. The odds of winning the pennant tell the story of just how locked down the field sees the 2022 playoff picture. Washington Nationals (88-74) The NL East is loaded, but any team anchored by Max Scherzer and Juan Soto can't be overlooked. The top of the MLB power rankings remains steady and it's likely to stay that way. If I believe the Dodgers end the regular season with the most wins, I like my chances for hitting the over here. They'll be one of the best home teams in baseball this year. The GB column is an abbreviation for Games Back and it shows how far teams are behind the leader of the division or put simply, first place. As for the Cubs, neither system likes their postseason chances despite the signings of Swanson, Cody Bellinger, Jameson Taillon, Trey Mancini and Eric Hosmer. The Minnesota Twins are an interesting case. Andrew Benintendi showed some bounceback potential in 2021, and Adalberto Mondesi still looks explosive when healthy. The rest of the AL Central is largely thinking about the future. I think Randal Grichuk will post huge power numbers there, too. Everyone wants to see his light-tower power in the thin air of Coors Field, just as CJ Cron in his first year in Colorado. Pitching depth will be crucial because of the compressed training period before the regular season starts. Heading into 2022, this division figures to be just as thrilling as the Padres continue to establish themselves as a threat in the league. They didn't re-sign Miley and traded away franchise icons Winker and Suarez in a salary dump before signing Tommy Pham, Donovan Solano, Colin Moran and trading for Mike Minor. Only enabled for screen sizes > 1024px. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. In fact, they lost their top free agent, shortstop Dansby Swanson, to the Cubs. Derek Jeter left the Miami Marlins for a reason, he doesnt believe this team is all-in on winnings. SEA . As part of our year-round MLB coverage, well provide analysis, the latest news and MLB trade rumors. My hunch this year is they'll be less extreme and steadily work toward somewhere in the low-to-mid 80s in wins. Maybe it's a case where I just didn't learn my lesson. March 1st, 2023. Here's what experts think. The Braves, on the other hand, werent a major player in free agency. section: | slug: mlb-win-totals-each-teams-2022-projection-plus-best-bets-on-over-unders-for-dodgers-cardinals-more | sport: baseball | route: article_single.us | Watch out, Milwaukee is a darkhorse World Series threat. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023 MLB section. That doesn't mean anyone should sleep on New York. But after an offseason spent filling out their roster with solid role players, ZiPS and PECOTA both think they have a good chance to break their ignominious drought in 2023. AL Central predictions. If Alex Bregman bounces back to what he's capable of, this should remain one of the highest-scoring offenses. If this is the year, Los Angeles could be in for a rise, especially with promising young talents Jo Adell, Reid Detmers and Brandon Marsh expected to be regulars in 2022. A young Tigers team will take another step forward . Our MLB projections will impact our projected postseason bracket. Dropping $500 million on a new middle infield (Corey Seager and Marcus Semien)got plenty of attention for the Rangers An ongoing clearance sale has the Athletics expected to finish last,but Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas give Oakland a little bit of upward mobility if they don't get shipped off, too. Three got there in both 2018 and 2017. Behind the Jays, it could go either way between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays. It's hard to see that changing in 2022 with a new crop of players in the AL Central. If that happens, Tampa Bay is in business. Acquiring Sonny Gray improves the rotation, but it could still use a front-line starter. There was a point in the 2021 season when it felt the Mets were going to run away with the division. So does former wunderkind Alex Reyes. This team is largely the same one that went on a 17-game winning streak at the end of the season to blaze past the Reds, Phillies and Padres to capture the second wild-card and sneak into the playoffs. Despite signing Trea Turnerin free agency, neither ZiPS nor PECOTA views the Phils as a major threat to win this division. We like the Zack Greinke return and have optimism for the Royals future, but 2022 wont be great. Luis Robert is a darkhorse MVP candidate, Jose Abreu is consistent and there is even more All-Star talent (Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal, Tim Anderson). NL Playoffs: Wild-Card Series A: Mets over Brewers Landing Carlos Correa is a monumental upgrade at shortstop, improving this teams fielding and run production. The Marinerswere the feel-good story of 2021, when out of nowhere, they rose up to post a 90-win season and nearly reach the postseason. The Philadelphia Phillies committed to spending money this offseason, improving the lineup with Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos. The model narrowly projects there to be three teams in the NL East reach the playoffs, with the Mets and Phillies earning wild cards to join the division-winning Padres. Witt Jr. could be the future face of MLB and Melendezs bat is convincing Kansas City to give the catching prospect a shot at other positions. 2023 Projected Standings. With considerable improvement expected from Ronald Acua Jr. and Ozzie Albies, ZiPS thinks Atlanta is in good shape, projecting the club for another tie with the Mets at 94 wins apiece. Its not a huge surprise that ZiPS projects the Padres and Dodgers for the same record. But that quickly changed, and the result was a disappointing 77-85 season. Instead, their big additions were Mitch Haniger, Michael Conforto, Sean Manaea, Ross Stripling and Taylor Rogers. 2. And while the Rays have been able to work around stuff like this the last several years, I don't believe they have the same combination of depth and talent in the bullpen to absorb the starter workload shortfall. When the MLB playoffs begin, well provide predictions, matchup analysis and provide the full schedule for October baseball. Detroit is also expecting rookies Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene to make the jump to the majors and provide the offense with the jolt it lacked in 2021. The Tigers also signed a pair of top free agents in Javier Baez and Eduardo Rodriguez to provide some more established threats to the team. The Cardinals often get far too much from their starters than they should. See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. The pitching staff is worrisome. This doesn't necessarily mean they'll win the World Series and a surprisingly disappointing season is always possible. Everyone needs to get their two cents in and, why not? Maybe this time I'm right and things have caught up with them. But we're making a call to the bullpen and asking five MLB.com writers to give it their best shot. Most of all, the Rockies will continue to flex their muscles in Coors Field, where they were 48-33 last season. Let's take a look at each game with odds from DraftKings . TheBrewers Way? The fourth and final 2022-23 regular-season meeting in the Battle of Florida is set for Tuesday as the Florida Panthers head to Tampa to take on the Lightning and their No.1 home offense. Just looking around the NL West, there are two bad teams. Both of these teams will be in the playoffs, everyones preference between the two is understandable. 1:51. Joey Votto continues to produce at a star talent, but heading into his age 38 campaign, the model expects some regression to take a toll. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Projection rollouts have become a time-honored tradition in the lead up to every baseball season, and FanGraphs writer Dan Szymborskis ZiPS and Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA are two of the most trusted projection systems around. There has been a lot going on in the AL West since the 2021 season came to an end, and the model expects the standings to turn out about as one might expect. The Rockieswere surprisingly the top suitor for Kris Bryant, signing him to a seven-year, $182 million contract Has a team ever lost 110 games as quietly as the Diamondbacks last year? However, the Yankees lineup could be without 60% of its production whenever it plays in Toronto. The speedy outfield of Tyler O'Neill, Harrison Bader and Dylan Carlson returns as the best defensive unit in baseball, and they're each expected to improve offensively. Joey Gallo should improve without the shift, and Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Josh Donaldson make for three of the best right-handed power bats in the sport when healthy. As for Oakland, it already traded Chris Bassitt, Matt Olson and Matt Chapman. FanGraphs Membership. PECOTA, however, sees a sizable gap of roughly five games between them, with the Mets on top. It makes them the team to beat in the NL Central, especially if Christian Yelich rebounds and Kolten Wong stays healthy. For now, well keep the Yankees in the No. Everyone is just waiting forthe Angelsto finally live up to their potential. Throw in a few more guys like Gunnar Henderson and DL Hall, and this team could be fun to watch in a few years. Considering the Cincinnati Reds are shopping their starting pitchers and trimming payroll, they belong in the ignore tier for the 2022 season. All Rights Reserved. Today's MLB slate is very busy, and the first game is at 3:10 pm ET. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isnt thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. Bo Bichette is talented enough to take another step forward and join Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. as an MVP contender. Texans spent heavily on Corey Seager and Marcus Semien, adding two All-Star hitters to the lineup. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Even after Gausman walked in free agency, San Francisco still returns Logan Webb, who is coming off a fantastic postseason, and bring back Anthony DeSclafani and Alex Wood. The model expects some regression, but the pitching will keep this as one of the best teams in baseball. Toronto hasnt won a playoff game since 2016. Are we really counting on Miles Mikolas and Dakota Hudson, then? Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? The production this season will help set the stage for the next competitive Nationals' team.
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